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The president of the United States, Donald Trumpdelivered the traditional State of the Union speech early this Wednesday. This year’s intervention has a clear electoral approach that seeks to convince voters ahead of the November midterm elections. It was the longest speech since records began.
During almost two hourspraised the achievements of his Administration. “I can say with dignity and pride that we have achieved a transformation like no one has ever seen,” he declared. “It is, in fact, a turning point for posterity. We are not going to turn back,” he added.
The message was immediate. “When I spoke before this chamber twelve months ago, I had inherited a nation in crisis, with a stagnant economy, record inflation, open borders, rampant crime levels and chaos and wars around the world,” he described.
“Today, our borders are secured, our spirit restored, inflation has plummeted, incomes are growing very quickly, and the economy is ‘roaring’ like never before,” he declared in a statement. triumphalist tone that conveys the image of a Trump capable of fulfilling his electoral promises to make America great again.
In November, the midterm elections are held and polls predict a Democratic victory that could turn control of the House of Representatives in their favor. The situation in the Senate is not so clear, but the president has little time to turn the situation around and could not miss the opportunity in his speech this year.
The messages disguise realities that do not correspond to the triumphalist emphasis he raised in the speech. The facts do not corroborate one hundred percent what his words said. For example, he stated that inflation reached record levels when he arrived and that, under his command, “has collapsed.
inflation
It is true that inflation is at low levels, but it is not true that it has inherited a record value. In fact, the highest rate (14.8%) occurred in 1980, under the Carter Administration. During Biden’s term, inflation fell from 9.1% to 3%. Now, it stands at 2.4% and has followed a slower rate of decline than its predecessor.
The employment
Trump boasted that the United States has more people employed than ever. It is true, as it is also true that the population has reached its historical maximum of 342 million inhabitants. The data on the percentage of the employed population is not so optimistic. According to the Bureau of Labor StatisticsDuring the first year of this second term, the occupancy rate has gone from 62.6% to 62.5%.
The security
Another of the exaggerated aspects in the State of the Union speech is the data of homicides. Trump said that under his watch a historic low will be reached. This is also true, but, according to information published by the FBI, the homicide rate per 100,000 inhabitants has already dropped with Biden from 6.7% to 5%. The downward curve continues during Trump’s mandate and it is estimated that in 2025 a value of 4% will have been reached.
immigration
On the essential issue of immigration: the president declared that he had closed the borders. It is true that the number of people who have illegally crossed the southern borders is the lowest in the last 50 years, although not in history, as he declared in his speech. The diary The New York Times publishes data showing that the figure fell sharply in 2024, during Biden’s term, and has continued to decline under the new Administration.
world peace
Trump tirelessly repeats that thanks to his intervention they have been prevented or stopped eight wars in the 10 months he has been in the White House. He cites his mediation between Thailand and Cambodia in the summer of 2025. The truth is that China and Malaysia also participated in the peace negotiations and that, despite the so-called ‘Trump peace’, the fighting continued in October.
The president also claims a decisive role in the negotiations between India and Pakistan. In his speech he declared that, if it were not for him, the two nations would have unleashed a nuclear war and estimated 35 million lives saved thanks to his intervention.
Kosovo and Serbia, Israel and Iran, Egypt and Ethiopia, Armenia and Azerbaijan, Congo and Rwanda and, “of course, the war in Gaza, which continues, but at a very low level,” he confessed. It is true that the American president has offered to act as a mediator in some of these conflicts, although his role is unclear.
In others, such as the war between Iran and Israel, there is no evidence of their intervention. In his speech he did not refer to the war in Ukraine. During the election campaign he announced that he would end that contest “on the first day” he took office and the fifth year of fighting has just begun.
The reactions
Reactions to his intervention have been diverse: as expected, Republicans speak of a powerful speech, focused on achievements and reflecting a new “global leadership.” Democrats highlight the exaggerations and half-truthswhile the American media reflects in its analysis some of the verified facts that contradict the president’s statements.
Other neutral media speak of the “theatrical” and “triumphalist” aspect, more aimed at mobilizing their bases in the face of what is anticipated as a possible disaster in the next elections. The toughening of the tone on immigration and a possible intervention in Iran would confirm these analyses.